Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms driven by high atmospheric moisture and daytime heating are the primary driver shaping trader sentiment for rain locations on August 27. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance highlight elevated precipitation chances across the Southeast, Gulf Coast, Florida, and parts of the Northeast, with PoP values often 40-70% in those zones due to tropical air masses fueling convective activity and localized heavy downpours. In contrast, drier conditions prevail over much of the Midwest and Plains. Resolution hinges on where measurable rainfall accumulates by midnight, with NWS hazardous weather outlooks noting flash flood risk in repeated storm tracks; ongoing model updates through the evening will refine steering patterns and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 27?
New York, NY
99%
Los Angeles, CA
27%
Chicago, IL
28%
Houston, TX
52%
Dallas, TX
5%
Phoenix, AZ
3%
Philadelphia, PA
99%
Denver, CO
51%
Washington, DC
99%
Atlanta, GA
99%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
16%
Boston, MA
11%
New Orleans, LA
99%
San Francisco, CA
49%
$3,200 Vol.
New York, NY
99%
Los Angeles, CA
27%
Chicago, IL
28%
Houston, TX
52%
Dallas, TX
5%
Phoenix, AZ
3%
Philadelphia, PA
99%
Denver, CO
51%
Washington, DC
99%
Atlanta, GA
99%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
16%
Boston, MA
11%
New Orleans, LA
99%
San Francisco, CA
49%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms driven by high atmospheric moisture and daytime heating are the primary driver shaping trader sentiment for rain locations on August 27. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance highlight elevated precipitation chances across the Southeast, Gulf Coast, Florida, and parts of the Northeast, with PoP values often 40-70% in those zones due to tropical air masses fueling convective activity and localized heavy downpours. In contrast, drier conditions prevail over much of the Midwest and Plains. Resolution hinges on where measurable rainfall accumulates by midnight, with NWS hazardous weather outlooks noting flash flood risk in repeated storm tracks; ongoing model updates through the evening will refine steering patterns and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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