Latest National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across portions of the eastern and central United States on August 28, driven by lingering atmospheric moisture, daytime heating, and weak frontal boundaries. Heavier rainfall is forecast in parts of the South, Midwest, and Appalachians, with probabilities exceeding 50% in many areas per WPC probability of precipitation products, while the West and northern Plains remain largely dry. Model consensus highlights typical summer convective patterns rather than organized systems, with resolution depending on exact geographic boundaries and measurable precipitation thresholds at designated stations. Updated NWS forecasts and radar trends through the day will provide the key inputs for trader assessment of localized outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 28?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
25%
Chicago, IL
26%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
73%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
74%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
76%
San Francisco, CA
24%
$5 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
25%
Chicago, IL
26%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
73%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
74%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
76%
San Francisco, CA
24%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA guidance shows scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across portions of the eastern and central United States on August 28, driven by lingering atmospheric moisture, daytime heating, and weak frontal boundaries. Heavier rainfall is forecast in parts of the South, Midwest, and Appalachians, with probabilities exceeding 50% in many areas per WPC probability of precipitation products, while the West and northern Plains remain largely dry. Model consensus highlights typical summer convective patterns rather than organized systems, with resolution depending on exact geographic boundaries and measurable precipitation thresholds at designated stations. Updated NWS forecasts and radar trends through the day will provide the key inputs for trader assessment of localized outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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