Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 28 stems from official meteorological observations showing a peak of exactly that value amid cooler-than-normal conditions. Persistent northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-August average of 28–29°C, with station data confirming the highest reading near midday before temperatures declined. This outcome aligns with forecast guidance from regional models emphasizing marine air influence and precipitation. A realistic shift would require post-analysis revisions from primary monitoring stations or measurement discrepancies across urban sites, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial reports stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,623 Vol.
$28,623 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,623 Vol.
$28,623 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$537 Vol.
No
20°C
$140 Vol.
No
21°C
$666 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,282 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,030 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,383 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$7,041 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,726 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,014 Vol.
No
28°C
$350 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$454 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 28 stems from official meteorological observations showing a peak of exactly that value amid cooler-than-normal conditions. Persistent northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-August average of 28–29°C, with station data confirming the highest reading near midday before temperatures declined. This outcome aligns with forecast guidance from regional models emphasizing marine air influence and precipitation. A realistic shift would require post-analysis revisions from primary monitoring stations or measurement discrepancies across urban sites, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$28,623End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 28 stems from official meteorological observations showing a peak of exactly that value amid cooler-than-normal conditions. Persistent northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-August average of 28–29°C, with station data confirming the highest reading near midday before temperatures declined. This outcome aligns with forecast guidance from regional models emphasizing marine air influence and precipitation. A realistic shift would require post-analysis revisions from primary monitoring stations or measurement discrepancies across urban sites, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,623End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 28 stems from official meteorological observations showing a peak of exactly that value amid cooler-than-normal conditions. Persistent northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers suppressed daytime heating below the typical late-August average of 28–29°C, with station data confirming the highest reading near midday before temperatures declined. This outcome aligns with forecast guidance from regional models emphasizing marine air influence and precipitation. A realistic shift would require post-analysis revisions from primary monitoring stations or measurement discrepancies across urban sites, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial reports stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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