**Official observations from Miami International Airport (MIA) recorded a daily maximum of 93°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:40 PM EDT, placing the outcome squarely in the 92–93°F bin.** National Weather Service climatological reports and automated station data confirm this value, with a 24-hour high of 93.0°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds around 5–10 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels (dew points near 72°F). This aligns with the historical average high of ~90°F for the date but reflects the specific atmospheric conditions that day—stable steering patterns and absence of strong convective cooling or cold fronts—that prevented temperatures from deviating into adjacent bins. The overwhelming market-implied probability (100%) on 92–93°F stems from traders incorporating these verified post-event measurements rather than pre-event forecasts. Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revisions to the official MIA record, such as quality-control adjustments or station instrumentation issues, though such changes are rare for daily maxima. No other credible stations or datasets contradict the 93°F peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 28?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 28?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$42,059 Vol.
$42,059 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$42,059 Vol.
$42,059 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
$292 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$405 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$723 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,310 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,643 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$11,735 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,549 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$6,705 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,279 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,179 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$240 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Miami International Airport (MIA) recorded a daily maximum of 93°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:40 PM EDT, placing the outcome squarely in the 92–93°F bin.** National Weather Service climatological reports and automated station data confirm this value, with a 24-hour high of 93.0°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds around 5–10 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels (dew points near 72°F).
This aligns with the historical average high of ~90°F for the date but reflects the specific atmospheric conditions that day—stable steering patterns and absence of strong convective cooling or cold fronts—that prevented temperatures from deviating into adjacent bins. The overwhelming market-implied probability (100%) on 92–93°F stems from traders incorporating these verified post-event measurements rather than pre-event forecasts.
Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revisions to the official MIA record, such as quality-control adjustments or station instrumentation issues, though such changes are rare for daily maxima. No other credible stations or datasets contradict the 93°F peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$42,059End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Miami International Airport (MIA) recorded a daily maximum of 93°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:40 PM EDT, placing the outcome squarely in the 92–93°F bin.** National Weather Service climatological reports and automated station data confirm this value, with a 24-hour high of 93.0°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds around 5–10 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels (dew points near 72°F).
This aligns with the historical average high of ~90°F for the date but reflects the specific atmospheric conditions that day—stable steering patterns and absence of strong convective cooling or cold fronts—that prevented temperatures from deviating into adjacent bins. The overwhelming market-implied probability (100%) on 92–93°F stems from traders incorporating these verified post-event measurements rather than pre-event forecasts.
Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revisions to the official MIA record, such as quality-control adjustments or station instrumentation issues, though such changes are rare for daily maxima. No other credible stations or datasets contradict the 93°F peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,059End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official observations from Miami International Airport (MIA) recorded a daily maximum of 93°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:40 PM EDT, placing the outcome squarely in the 92–93°F bin.** National Weather Service climatological reports and automated station data confirm this value, with a 24-hour high of 93.0°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds around 5–10 mph, and typical late-summer humidity levels (dew points near 72°F). This aligns with the historical average high of ~90°F for the date but reflects the specific atmospheric conditions that day—stable steering patterns and absence of strong convective cooling or cold fronts—that prevented temperatures from deviating into adjacent bins. The overwhelming market-implied probability (100%) on 92–93°F stems from traders incorporating these verified post-event measurements rather than pre-event forecasts. Realistic challenges to this resolution would require revisions to the official MIA record, such as quality-control adjustments or station instrumentation issues, though such changes are rare for daily maxima. No other credible stations or datasets contradict the 93°F peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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