Forecast models from agencies such as those using GFS data and regional services have converged on a daily maximum near 30°C in Milan under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light southwesterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 29–31°C. Current observations from Milan Linate and surrounding stations, combined with stable pressure fields around 1013 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity, reinforce trader consensus that 30°C represents the most probable peak. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies cooling earlier than projected or if station-specific microclimates produce slight offsets, though model agreement and the advanced stage of the day limit realistic shifts away from this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 28?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 28?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,059 Vol.
$49,059 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,059 Vol.
$49,059 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$1,198 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,397 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,180 Vol.
No
25°C
$474 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,447 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,039 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,239 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,933 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,121 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$7,766 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,267 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies such as those using GFS data and regional services have converged on a daily maximum near 30°C in Milan under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light southwesterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 29–31°C. Current observations from Milan Linate and surrounding stations, combined with stable pressure fields around 1013 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity, reinforce trader consensus that 30°C represents the most probable peak. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies cooling earlier than projected or if station-specific microclimates produce slight offsets, though model agreement and the advanced stage of the day limit realistic shifts away from this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$49,059End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies such as those using GFS data and regional services have converged on a daily maximum near 30°C in Milan under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light southwesterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 29–31°C. Current observations from Milan Linate and surrounding stations, combined with stable pressure fields around 1013 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity, reinforce trader consensus that 30°C represents the most probable peak. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies cooling earlier than projected or if station-specific microclimates produce slight offsets, though model agreement and the advanced stage of the day limit realistic shifts away from this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,059End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Forecast models from agencies such as those using GFS data and regional services have converged on a daily maximum near 30°C in Milan under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light southwesterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where afternoon highs typically reach 29–31°C. Current observations from Milan Linate and surrounding stations, combined with stable pressure fields around 1013 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity, reinforce trader consensus that 30°C represents the most probable peak. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies cooling earlier than projected or if station-specific microclimates produce slight offsets, though model agreement and the advanced stage of the day limit realistic shifts away from this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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