Recent meteorological data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Qingdao at 31°C for August 27, driving near-certain market-implied odds on that outcome. Typical late-August patterns feature highs near 29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, with light easterly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming; however, localized clear-sky periods and reduced cloud cover aligned precisely with this threshold today. Official station measurements will determine final resolution, and minor revisions from timing, sensor calibration, or microclimate variations could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$29,983 Vol.
$29,983 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$29,983 Vol.
$29,983 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$1,164 Vol.
No
26°C
$394 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,964 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,157 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,032 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,966 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,612 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$2,632 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,972 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,163 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$926 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Qingdao at 31°C for August 27, driving near-certain market-implied odds on that outcome. Typical late-August patterns feature highs near 29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, with light easterly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming; however, localized clear-sky periods and reduced cloud cover aligned precisely with this threshold today. Official station measurements will determine final resolution, and minor revisions from timing, sensor calibration, or microclimate variations could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$29,983End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Qingdao at 31°C for August 27, driving near-certain market-implied odds on that outcome. Typical late-August patterns feature highs near 29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, with light easterly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming; however, localized clear-sky periods and reduced cloud cover aligned precisely with this threshold today. Official station measurements will determine final resolution, and minor revisions from timing, sensor calibration, or microclimate variations could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,983End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent meteorological data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Qingdao at 31°C for August 27, driving near-certain market-implied odds on that outcome. Typical late-August patterns feature highs near 29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, with light easterly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming; however, localized clear-sky periods and reduced cloud cover aligned precisely with this threshold today. Official station measurements will determine final resolution, and minor revisions from timing, sensor calibration, or microclimate variations could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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