Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Houston on August 31, driven by persistent warm, moist air under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds. High dew points near 74–76°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~75°F. Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 76–82°F bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact minimum by 2–4°F, while the low odds on extremes (88°F+ or 69°F or below) align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or excessive heating. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the precise low recorded at Hobby Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 31?
69°F or below 98%
88°F or higher 93%
72-73°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
69°F or below
98%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
45%
88°F or higher
93%
69°F or below 98%
88°F or higher 93%
72-73°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
98%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
49%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
45%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Houston on August 31, driven by persistent warm, moist air under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds. High dew points near 74–76°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~75°F. Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 76–82°F bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact minimum by 2–4°F, while the low odds on extremes (88°F+ or 69°F or below) align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or excessive heating. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the precise low recorded at Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Houston on August 31, driven by persistent warm, moist air under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds. High dew points near 74–76°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~75°F. Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 76–82°F bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact minimum by 2–4°F, while the low odds on extremes (88°F+ or 69°F or below) align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or excessive heating. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the precise low recorded at Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s for Houston on August 31, driven by persistent warm, moist air under mostly clear skies with light southerly winds. High dew points near 74–76°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~75°F. Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 76–82°F bins because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact minimum by 2–4°F, while the low odds on extremes (88°F+ or 69°F or below) align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or excessive heating. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the precise low recorded at Hobby Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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