**Trump administration efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook center on unproven 2021 mortgage application allegations, renewed via formal notice in early August 2026 after the Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling.** That decision preserved Cook’s position pending litigation, requiring proper notice and opportunity to respond under the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard while affirming the central bank’s structural independence from at-will presidential removal. Cook’s legal team submitted a detailed denial on August 26, 2026, describing the listing of two properties as primary residences as an inadvertent oversight with no intent to defraud and no preferential loan terms obtained. Markets continue to price in elevated uncertainty around the timeline for any final resolution, given ongoing lower-court proceedings and the precedent this case sets for monetary policy continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 30
3%
October 31
4%
November 30
7%
December 31
7%
$7,252 Vol.
September 30
3%
October 31
4%
November 30
7%
December 31
7%
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trump administration efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook center on unproven 2021 mortgage application allegations, renewed via formal notice in early August 2026 after the Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling.** That decision preserved Cook’s position pending litigation, requiring proper notice and opportunity to respond under the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard while affirming the central bank’s structural independence from at-will presidential removal. Cook’s legal team submitted a detailed denial on August 26, 2026, describing the listing of two properties as primary residences as an inadvertent oversight with no intent to defraud and no preferential loan terms obtained. Markets continue to price in elevated uncertainty around the timeline for any final resolution, given ongoing lower-court proceedings and the precedent this case sets for monetary policy continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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