Early September rainfall in Central Park has reached 0.89 inches, slightly above the 1991-2020 normal of about 0.64 inches for the period, following a wet summer that delivered above-average totals through August. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center outlook favors above-normal precipitation across the Northeast for the month due to lingering tropical moisture influences and typical late-summer patterns. Near-term National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly dry conditions with low rain chances through midweek before a cold front arrives, introducing uncertainty for the remaining 24 days. Trader consensus clusters around 3-5 inches—near the long-term average of roughly 4.3 inches—reflecting balanced probabilities amid divergent model runs on frontal timing and intensity, while extremes like totals below 2 or above 6 inches carry lower implied odds given historical September variability.