Sílvia Cristina holds the highest implied probability for second place in the Rondônia Senate race, ahead of Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and Dr. Fernando Máximo, as traders assess a fragmented field of roughly ten candidates for the two seats. Recent Quaest polling shows Máximo leading overall intentions at 17 percent while Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho cluster tightly behind, with more than a quarter of voters undecided. High undecideds, competing party alliances, and internal disputes such as the recent PSB intervention over Neidinha Suruí keep the second-position outcome fluid. A clear separation could emerge from final convention alignments, targeted campaigning in key municipalities, or shifts among undecided voters ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia Cristina 36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 17%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 15.8%
Mariana Carvalho 11.9%
$16,146 Vol.
$16,146 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
17%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
15%
Mariana Carvalho
12%
Acir Gurgacz
8%
Luciana Oliveira
3%
Aires Mota
3%
Luis Fernando
2%
Neidinha
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Sílvia Cristina 36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 17%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 15.8%
Mariana Carvalho 11.9%
$16,146 Vol.
$16,146 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$8,635 Vol.
36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$3,466 Vol.
17%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$929 Vol.
15%
Mariana Carvalho
$307 Vol.
12%
Acir Gurgacz
$743 Vol.
8%
Luciana Oliveira
$239 Vol.
3%
Aires Mota
$501 Vol.
3%
Luis Fernando
$312 Vol.
2%
Neidinha
$211 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$803 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sílvia Cristina holds the highest implied probability for second place in the Rondônia Senate race, ahead of Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and Dr. Fernando Máximo, as traders assess a fragmented field of roughly ten candidates for the two seats. Recent Quaest polling shows Máximo leading overall intentions at 17 percent while Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho cluster tightly behind, with more than a quarter of voters undecided. High undecideds, competing party alliances, and internal disputes such as the recent PSB intervention over Neidinha Suruí keep the second-position outcome fluid. A clear separation could emerge from final convention alignments, targeted campaigning in key municipalities, or shifts among undecided voters ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$16,146End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sílvia Cristina holds the highest implied probability for second place in the Rondônia Senate race, ahead of Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and Dr. Fernando Máximo, as traders assess a fragmented field of roughly ten candidates for the two seats. Recent Quaest polling shows Máximo leading overall intentions at 17 percent while Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho cluster tightly behind, with more than a quarter of voters undecided. High undecideds, competing party alliances, and internal disputes such as the recent PSB intervention over Neidinha Suruí keep the second-position outcome fluid. A clear separation could emerge from final convention alignments, targeted campaigning in key municipalities, or shifts among undecided voters ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,146End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sílvia Cristina holds the highest implied probability for second place in the Rondônia Senate race, ahead of Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and Dr. Fernando Máximo, as traders assess a fragmented field of roughly ten candidates for the two seats. Recent Quaest polling shows Máximo leading overall intentions at 17 percent while Cristina, Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho cluster tightly behind, with more than a quarter of voters undecided. High undecideds, competing party alliances, and internal disputes such as the recent PSB intervention over Neidinha Suruí keep the second-position outcome fluid. A clear separation could emerge from final convention alignments, targeted campaigning in key municipalities, or shifts among undecided voters ahead of the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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