Incumbent Republican Russell Fry maintains a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts favoring Democrats in the midterms, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-07 House Election Winner
SC-07 House Election Winner
$33,744 Vol.
$33,744 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
6%
$33,744 Vol.
$33,744 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,322 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$12,422 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry maintains a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts favoring Democrats in the midterms, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,744End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry maintains a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts favoring Democrats in the midterms, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,744End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry maintains a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national political shifts favoring Democrats in the midterms, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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