The tight clustering of Code Arena WebDev lab scores—Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max leading at roughly 1691, followed closely by Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max at 1674 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max at 1669—drives the market’s even odds for third place by end of September. Recent mid-August releases, including Grok-4.6, Gemini 3.7 Flash, DeepSeek-V4-Pro, and Alibaba’s smaller Qwen3.8-27B, have narrowed gaps through improved agentic web-dev performance on multi-step tasks. Chinese labs benefit from rapid iteration and cost efficiency, while Western frontier models retain edges in complex reasoning. With only weeks left and ongoing votes shifting rankings quickly, traders see high uncertainty among Alibaba, Moonshot, and several others for the third slot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlibaba 44%
Moonshot 25%
ByteDance 9.2%
Google 5.6%
$22,656 Vol.
$22,656 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Alibaba
44%
Moonshot
25%
ByteDance
6%
6%
Anthropic
5%
SpaceXAI
4%
OpenAI
3%
Meta
2%
Z.ai
1%
MiniMax
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Thinky
1%
Poolside
9%
Tencent
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Alibaba 44%
Moonshot 25%
ByteDance 9.2%
Google 5.6%
$22,656 Vol.
$22,656 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Alibaba
$8,325 Vol.
44%
Moonshot
$5,570 Vol.
25%
ByteDance
$363 Vol.
6%
$615 Vol.
6%
Anthropic
$2,598 Vol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$365 Vol.
4%
OpenAI
$1,001 Vol.
3%
Meta
$616 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$559 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$343 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$352 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$347 Vol.
1%
Poolside
$346 Vol.
9%
Tencent
$373 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$581 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of Code Arena WebDev lab scores—Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max leading at roughly 1691, followed closely by Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max at 1674 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max at 1669—drives the market’s even odds for third place by end of September. Recent mid-August releases, including Grok-4.6, Gemini 3.7 Flash, DeepSeek-V4-Pro, and Alibaba’s smaller Qwen3.8-27B, have narrowed gaps through improved agentic web-dev performance on multi-step tasks. Chinese labs benefit from rapid iteration and cost efficiency, while Western frontier models retain edges in complex reasoning. With only weeks left and ongoing votes shifting rankings quickly, traders see high uncertainty among Alibaba, Moonshot, and several others for the third slot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$22,656End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of Code Arena WebDev lab scores—Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max leading at roughly 1691, followed closely by Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max at 1674 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max at 1669—drives the market’s even odds for third place by end of September. Recent mid-August releases, including Grok-4.6, Gemini 3.7 Flash, DeepSeek-V4-Pro, and Alibaba’s smaller Qwen3.8-27B, have narrowed gaps through improved agentic web-dev performance on multi-step tasks. Chinese labs benefit from rapid iteration and cost efficiency, while Western frontier models retain edges in complex reasoning. With only weeks left and ongoing votes shifting rankings quickly, traders see high uncertainty among Alibaba, Moonshot, and several others for the third slot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$22,656End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of Code Arena WebDev lab scores—Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max leading at roughly 1691, followed closely by Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max at 1674 and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max at 1669—drives the market’s even odds for third place by end of September. Recent mid-August releases, including Grok-4.6, Gemini 3.7 Flash, DeepSeek-V4-Pro, and Alibaba’s smaller Qwen3.8-27B, have narrowed gaps through improved agentic web-dev performance on multi-step tasks. Chinese labs benefit from rapid iteration and cost efficiency, while Western frontier models retain edges in complex reasoning. With only weeks left and ongoing votes shifting rankings quickly, traders see high uncertainty among Alibaba, Moonshot, and several others for the third slot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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