The Trujillo mayoral race for the October 4, 2026, municipal election remains highly competitive due to a fragmented field of over 15 registered candidates and recent polling that shows no dominant frontrunner. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez (APP) holds an edge in August surveys at 30-34% but faces strong challenges from Robert de la Cruz Rosas (Podemos Perú) at 10-18% and Roy Arbaiza, Luis Zavala, and others in the low-to-mid teens, with substantial undecided and blank responses. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing keeps top probabilities close because vote splitting among parties like APP, Podemos Perú, APRA, and smaller groups limits any single candidate's path to a clear majority. Key upcoming factors include final campaign positioning, turnout among urban and district voters, and any late shifts in alliances ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVíctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 42%
Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez 33.1%
Víctor Julio León Álvarez 6.1%
Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta 3.1%
$24,039 Vol.
$24,039 Vol.

Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
42%

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
33%

Víctor Julio León Álvarez
6%

Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
3%

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
3%

José María Alberto Arcila Corales
1%

Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
<1%

Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
<1%

Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
<1%

Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
<1%

Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
<1%

Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
<1%

Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
<1%

Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
<1%

Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
<1%

José Rodar Miranda Prado
<1%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 42%
Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez 33.1%
Víctor Julio León Álvarez 6.1%
Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta 3.1%
$24,039 Vol.
$24,039 Vol.

Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
42%

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
33%

Víctor Julio León Álvarez
6%

Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
3%

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
3%

José María Alberto Arcila Corales
1%

Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
<1%

Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
<1%

Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
<1%

Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
<1%

Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
<1%

Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
<1%

Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
<1%

Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
<1%

Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
<1%

José Rodar Miranda Prado
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Trujillo mayoral race for the October 4, 2026, municipal election remains highly competitive due to a fragmented field of over 15 registered candidates and recent polling that shows no dominant frontrunner. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez (APP) holds an edge in August surveys at 30-34% but faces strong challenges from Robert de la Cruz Rosas (Podemos Perú) at 10-18% and Roy Arbaiza, Luis Zavala, and others in the low-to-mid teens, with substantial undecided and blank responses. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing keeps top probabilities close because vote splitting among parties like APP, Podemos Perú, APRA, and smaller groups limits any single candidate's path to a clear majority. Key upcoming factors include final campaign positioning, turnout among urban and district voters, and any late shifts in alliances ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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