Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near record lows for his second term, with figures clustering around 33–39% amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict’s duration, elevated gasoline prices, and net-negative ratings across the economy, foreign policy, and border security. Multiple surveys released in the past week show little movement, producing a closely balanced market where traders see roughly even odds of a modest weekly uptick versus further softening. Developments that could shift sentiment include fresh polling releases, any diplomatic progress on Iran or energy prices, or scheduled economic data releases, while escalation signals or additional negative issue polling would likely reinforce downward pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
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Aug 28, 2026
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Aug 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near record lows for his second term, with figures clustering around 33–39% amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict’s duration, elevated gasoline prices, and net-negative ratings across the economy, foreign policy, and border security. Multiple surveys released in the past week show little movement, producing a closely balanced market where traders see roughly even odds of a modest weekly uptick versus further softening. Developments that could shift sentiment include fresh polling releases, any diplomatic progress on Iran or energy prices, or scheduled economic data releases, while escalation signals or additional negative issue polling would likely reinforce downward pressure.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near record lows for his second term, with figures clustering around 33–39% amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict’s duration, elevated gasoline prices, and net-negative ratings across the economy, foreign policy, and border security. Multiple surveys released in the past week show little movement, producing a closely balanced market where traders see roughly even odds of a modest weekly uptick versus further softening. Developments that could shift sentiment include fresh polling releases, any diplomatic progress on Iran or energy prices, or scheduled economic data releases, while escalation signals or additional negative issue polling would likely reinforce downward pressure.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$48End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near record lows for his second term, with figures clustering around 33–39% amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict’s duration, elevated gasoline prices, and net-negative ratings across the economy, foreign policy, and border security. Multiple surveys released in the past week show little movement, producing a closely balanced market where traders see roughly even odds of a modest weekly uptick versus further softening. Developments that could shift sentiment include fresh polling releases, any diplomatic progress on Iran or energy prices, or scheduled economic data releases, while escalation signals or additional negative issue polling would likely reinforce downward pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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