OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 (ChatGPT Images 2.0) has held top positions on major text-to-image leaderboards since its April 2026 launch, delivering native reasoning, near-perfect text rendering across scripts, strong prompt adherence, and high Elo margins over competitors like Google’s Nano Banana models or Black Forest Labs’ FLUX variants. This sustained edge in blind preference tests and complex generation tasks underpins the near-certain market consensus. A credible late-August release from Google, ByteDance, or another lab that overtakes it on fresh arena evaluations before month-end remains the main scenario that could shift outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI 97.1%
Meta <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
Ideogram <1%
$33,879 Vol.
$33,879 Vol.

OpenAI
97%

Meta
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Ideogram
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Reve
<1%

<1%

Microsoft AI
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Recraft
<1%

Black Forest Labs
<1%

Tencent
<1%
OpenAI 97.1%
Meta <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
Ideogram <1%
$33,879 Vol.
$33,879 Vol.

OpenAI
97%

Meta
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Ideogram
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Reve
<1%

<1%

Microsoft AI
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Recraft
<1%

Black Forest Labs
<1%

Tencent
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 (ChatGPT Images 2.0) has held top positions on major text-to-image leaderboards since its April 2026 launch, delivering native reasoning, near-perfect text rendering across scripts, strong prompt adherence, and high Elo margins over competitors like Google’s Nano Banana models or Black Forest Labs’ FLUX variants. This sustained edge in blind preference tests and complex generation tasks underpins the near-certain market consensus. A credible late-August release from Google, ByteDance, or another lab that overtakes it on fresh arena evaluations before month-end remains the main scenario that could shift outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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