Google's recent Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash release on August 27, 2026, with upgrades like 4K upscaling, extended scene generation from 10 seconds of prior context, first/last frame control, and faster low-res previews, has solidified trader consensus around its Veo 3.1 lineage as the leading text-to-video AI. These features deliver superior prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, and seamless integration into the Gemini ecosystem compared to rivals. While models from MiniMax, ByteDance, and Kling AI post competitive arena scores in motion or value, none match Google's combination of resolution, audio quality, and production-ready controls. Strong positioning could face pressure from faster competitor iterations or unexpected availability shifts before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGoogle 98.3%
ByteDance 1.6%
MiniMax <1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH <1%
$34,169 Vol.
$34,169 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
98%
ByteDance
2%
MiniMax
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
1%
Meta
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
Runway
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Pika
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
Google 98.3%
ByteDance 1.6%
MiniMax <1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH <1%
$34,169 Vol.
$34,169 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
$12,852 Vol.
98%
ByteDance
$6,512 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$2,089 Vol.
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Meta
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$703 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$600 Vol.
<1%
Pixverse
$618 Vol.
<1%
Runway
$565 Vol.
<1%
KlingAI
$546 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$574 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$748 Vol.
<1%
Kandinsky
$608 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$846 Vol.
<1%
Lightricks
$1,494 Vol.
<1%
Pika
$597 Vol.
<1%
Genmo AI
$2,369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's recent Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash release on August 27, 2026, with upgrades like 4K upscaling, extended scene generation from 10 seconds of prior context, first/last frame control, and faster low-res previews, has solidified trader consensus around its Veo 3.1 lineage as the leading text-to-video AI. These features deliver superior prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, and seamless integration into the Gemini ecosystem compared to rivals. While models from MiniMax, ByteDance, and Kling AI post competitive arena scores in motion or value, none match Google's combination of resolution, audio quality, and production-ready controls. Strong positioning could face pressure from faster competitor iterations or unexpected availability shifts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Volume
$34,169End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's recent Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash release on August 27, 2026, with upgrades like 4K upscaling, extended scene generation from 10 seconds of prior context, first/last frame control, and faster low-res previews, has solidified trader consensus around its Veo 3.1 lineage as the leading text-to-video AI. These features deliver superior prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, and seamless integration into the Gemini ecosystem compared to rivals. While models from MiniMax, ByteDance, and Kling AI post competitive arena scores in motion or value, none match Google's combination of resolution, audio quality, and production-ready controls. Strong positioning could face pressure from faster competitor iterations or unexpected availability shifts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$34,169End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's recent Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash release on August 27, 2026, with upgrades like 4K upscaling, extended scene generation from 10 seconds of prior context, first/last frame control, and faster low-res previews, has solidified trader consensus around its Veo 3.1 lineage as the leading text-to-video AI. These features deliver superior prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, and seamless integration into the Gemini ecosystem compared to rivals. While models from MiniMax, ByteDance, and Kling AI post competitive arena scores in motion or value, none match Google's combination of resolution, audio quality, and production-ready controls. Strong positioning could face pressure from faster competitor iterations or unexpected availability shifts before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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