Trump's repeated public pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell centers on disagreements over interest rate policy and the central bank's independence, with the president viewing Powell's board term through January 2028 as an obstacle to faster monetary easing. Trump has issued multiple threats to remove Powell from the board if he did not step aside after his chair term ended in May 2026, citing a stalled Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations and broader claims of incompetence. Legal constraints limit removal to "for cause," and prior efforts against other governors have faced court and Senate resistance. As of late July 2026, Trump stated he had no current plan to act but described the situation as fluid. These dynamics, alongside Powell's decision to remain on the board, shape trader assessments of whether a formal attempt will occur by resolution deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$30,475 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
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September 30
14%
December 31
13%
$30,475 Vol.
August 31
$3,406 Vol.
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September 30
$564 Vol.
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$8,718 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's repeated public pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell centers on disagreements over interest rate policy and the central bank's independence, with the president viewing Powell's board term through January 2028 as an obstacle to faster monetary easing. Trump has issued multiple threats to remove Powell from the board if he did not step aside after his chair term ended in May 2026, citing a stalled Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations and broader claims of incompetence. Legal constraints limit removal to "for cause," and prior efforts against other governors have faced court and Senate resistance. As of late July 2026, Trump stated he had no current plan to act but described the situation as fluid. These dynamics, alongside Powell's decision to remain on the board, shape trader assessments of whether a formal attempt will occur by resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$30,475End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's repeated public pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell centers on disagreements over interest rate policy and the central bank's independence, with the president viewing Powell's board term through January 2028 as an obstacle to faster monetary easing. Trump has issued multiple threats to remove Powell from the board if he did not step aside after his chair term ended in May 2026, citing a stalled Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations and broader claims of incompetence. Legal constraints limit removal to "for cause," and prior efforts against other governors have faced court and Senate resistance. As of late July 2026, Trump stated he had no current plan to act but described the situation as fluid. These dynamics, alongside Powell's decision to remain on the board, shape trader assessments of whether a formal attempt will occur by resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,475End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's repeated public pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell centers on disagreements over interest rate policy and the central bank's independence, with the president viewing Powell's board term through January 2028 as an obstacle to faster monetary easing. Trump has issued multiple threats to remove Powell from the board if he did not step aside after his chair term ended in May 2026, citing a stalled Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations and broader claims of incompetence. Legal constraints limit removal to "for cause," and prior efforts against other governors have faced court and Senate resistance. As of late July 2026, Trump stated he had no current plan to act but described the situation as fluid. These dynamics, alongside Powell's decision to remain on the board, shape trader assessments of whether a formal attempt will occur by resolution deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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