Recent July PCE data, with a 0.2% month-over-month rise exceeding forecasts and annual inflation holding at 3.7%, has anchored expectations for August readings amid persistent core pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to headline CPI advancing around 0.36% for the month, supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward 0.3–0.4% outcomes as reflective of sticky services and goods prices following earlier energy-driven spikes. Traders price in this range given mixed signals from commodity declines and resilient consumer spending, while the September CPI release and any FOMC signals on the policy path remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4% 45%
0.3% 32%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 7%
$16,570 Vol.
$16,570 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
2%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
32%
0.4%
45%
≥0.5%
12%
0.4% 45%
0.3% 32%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 7%
$16,570 Vol.
$16,570 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$461 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$229 Vol.
2%
-0.1%
$255 Vol.
<1%
0.0%
$420 Vol.
1%
0.1%
$376 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$745 Vol.
7%
0.3%
$2,515 Vol.
32%
0.4%
$5,447 Vol.
45%
≥0.5%
$6,124 Vol.
12%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July PCE data, with a 0.2% month-over-month rise exceeding forecasts and annual inflation holding at 3.7%, has anchored expectations for August readings amid persistent core pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to headline CPI advancing around 0.36% for the month, supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward 0.3–0.4% outcomes as reflective of sticky services and goods prices following earlier energy-driven spikes. Traders price in this range given mixed signals from commodity declines and resilient consumer spending, while the September CPI release and any FOMC signals on the policy path remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$16,570End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July PCE data, with a 0.2% month-over-month rise exceeding forecasts and annual inflation holding at 3.7%, has anchored expectations for August readings amid persistent core pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to headline CPI advancing around 0.36% for the month, supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward 0.3–0.4% outcomes as reflective of sticky services and goods prices following earlier energy-driven spikes. Traders price in this range given mixed signals from commodity declines and resilient consumer spending, while the September CPI release and any FOMC signals on the policy path remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$16,570End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July PCE data, with a 0.2% month-over-month rise exceeding forecasts and annual inflation holding at 3.7%, has anchored expectations for August readings amid persistent core pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to headline CPI advancing around 0.36% for the month, supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward 0.3–0.4% outcomes as reflective of sticky services and goods prices following earlier energy-driven spikes. Traders price in this range given mixed signals from commodity declines and resilient consumer spending, while the September CPI release and any FOMC signals on the policy path remain key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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