The Baja California gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains tightly contested among Morena-aligned contenders, with Ismael Burgueño Ruiz leading trader pricing at 43.5% followed by Julieta Ramírez Padilla at 25.9%. The market reflects the ongoing internal Morena selection process for the “Coordinación Estatal,” which began with ten registrations in June 2026 and will narrow via party surveys potentially extending into December. Recent polls show fluctuating leads between Burgueño, the licensed Tijuana mayor, and Ramírez Padilla, the licensed senator, driven by internal factions, alliances with the PT and PVEM, and voter preference measurements that also place Morena well ahead of PAN and other opposition options. Additional names such as Montserrat Caballero Ramírez and Fernando Castro Trenti register lower probabilities, underscoring how the eventual party nominee will likely determine the outcome given the state’s political alignment. Upcoming internal evaluations and any shifts in polling averages within the next several months could produce clearer separation among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsmael Burgueño Ruiz 44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 25.9%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba 10.4%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas 2.5%
$15,661 Vol.
$15,661 Vol.
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
26%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
10%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
2%
Armando Ayala Robles
2%
Víctor Galicia
2%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
2%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
1%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
1%
Juan Carlos Hank
1%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
1%
Fernando Castro Trenti
1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
1%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
1%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
1%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
7%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
7%
Gustavo Macalpin
<1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
<1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 25.9%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba 10.4%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas 2.5%
$15,661 Vol.
$15,661 Vol.
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
44%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
26%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
10%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
2%
Armando Ayala Robles
2%
Víctor Galicia
2%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
2%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
1%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
1%
Juan Carlos Hank
1%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
1%
Fernando Castro Trenti
1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
1%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
1%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
1%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
7%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
7%
Gustavo Macalpin
<1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
<1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Baja California gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains tightly contested among Morena-aligned contenders, with Ismael Burgueño Ruiz leading trader pricing at 43.5% followed by Julieta Ramírez Padilla at 25.9%. The market reflects the ongoing internal Morena selection process for the “Coordinación Estatal,” which began with ten registrations in June 2026 and will narrow via party surveys potentially extending into December. Recent polls show fluctuating leads between Burgueño, the licensed Tijuana mayor, and Ramírez Padilla, the licensed senator, driven by internal factions, alliances with the PT and PVEM, and voter preference measurements that also place Morena well ahead of PAN and other opposition options. Additional names such as Montserrat Caballero Ramírez and Fernando Castro Trenti register lower probabilities, underscoring how the eventual party nominee will likely determine the outcome given the state’s political alignment. Upcoming internal evaluations and any shifts in polling averages within the next several months could produce clearer separation among the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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