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Economy·Macro Indicators

Bank of Russia decision in September?

icon for Bank of Russia decision in September?
Economy·Macro Indicators

Bank of Russia decision in September?

Sep 11

Oct 23

Sep 11

Oct 23

No Change 63%

Decrease 35%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$111,829 Vol.

No Change 63%

Decrease 35%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$111,829 Vol.

Decrease

$28,965 Vol.

35%

No Change

$44,840 Vol.

63%

Increase

$38,024 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Trader consensus for the Bank of Russia's September 11 key rate decision favors no change at the current 14% level, reflecting caution amid elevated but partly transitory inflation pressures.** The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points in July after a series of larger reductions, explicitly signaling a shift to smoother, more gradual easing while raising its 2026 average rate forecast to 14.5–14.6%. Recent commentary highlights pro-inflationary risks from fuel price spikes tied to supply disruptions, expansionary fiscal policy, and a wider structural budget deficit, which have tempered expectations for another immediate move. Analysts note limited new inflation data since July and view the September meeting as intermediate, with many assigning roughly even or higher odds to a hold versus a small cut. An increase remains remote given the disinflation trajectory and underlying price growth still near 4–5% annualized. Market pricing aligns with this data-dependent stance, where fresh readings on inflation expectations and fiscal developments could still shift probabilities before the decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$111,829
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Trader consensus for the Bank of Russia's September 11 key rate decision favors no change at the current 14% level, reflecting caution amid elevated but partly transitory inflation pressures.** The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points in July after a series of larger reductions, explicitly signaling a shift to smoother, more gradual easing while raising its 2026 average rate forecast to 14.5–14.6%. Recent commentary highlights pro-inflationary risks from fuel price spikes tied to supply disruptions, expansionary fiscal policy, and a wider structural budget deficit, which have tempered expectations for another immediate move. Analysts note limited new inflation data since July and view the September meeting as intermediate, with many assigning roughly even or higher odds to a hold versus a small cut. An increase remains remote given the disinflation trajectory and underlying price growth still near 4–5% annualized. Market pricing aligns with this data-dependent stance, where fresh readings on inflation expectations and fiscal developments could still shift probabilities before the decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$111,829
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Russia decision in September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 63%, followed by "Decrease" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Russia decision in September?" has generated $111.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Russia decision in September?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Russia decision in September?" is "No Change" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Decrease" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Russia decision in September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.