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icon for Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Claude Reid 63%

Alexandre Daneau 36%

Angélika Homère 1.9%

Charles Royer Tremblay 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude Reid 63%

Alexandre Daneau 36%

Angélika Homère 1.9%

Charles Royer Tremblay 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Claude Reid

Claude Reid

$787 Vol.

63%

icon for Alexandre Daneau

Alexandre Daneau

$976 Vol.

36%

icon for Angélika Homère

Angélika Homère

$2,079 Vol.

2%

icon for Charles Royer Tremblay

Charles Royer Tremblay

$197 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Claude Reid, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA, leads trader pricing due to his established local profile and the party's 2022 dominance in Beauharnois, though recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections show a narrow toss-up with Parti Québécois support near 33 percent amid broader provincial shifts. Alexandre Daneau, confirmed as the PQ candidate after his June 2026 nomination, trails at lower odds as the main challenger in a riding where CAQ and PQ votes remain closely contested. Minor-party candidates including Angélika Homère for the Conservatives and Charles Royer Tremblay for the Liberals register minimal implied probabilities consistent with historical vote shares below 15 percent. Nomination deadlines closed on September 17 ahead of the October 5 general election, with no late developments altering the core dynamic of incumbent advantage versus PQ momentum in this Montérégie seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,038
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Claude Reid, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA, leads trader pricing due to his established local profile and the party's 2022 dominance in Beauharnois, though recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections show a narrow toss-up with Parti Québécois support near 33 percent amid broader provincial shifts. Alexandre Daneau, confirmed as the PQ candidate after his June 2026 nomination, trails at lower odds as the main challenger in a riding where CAQ and PQ votes remain closely contested. Minor-party candidates including Angélika Homère for the Conservatives and Charles Royer Tremblay for the Liberals register minimal implied probabilities consistent with historical vote shares below 15 percent. Nomination deadlines closed on September 17 ahead of the October 5 general election, with no late developments altering the core dynamic of incumbent advantage versus PQ momentum in this Montérégie seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,038
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude Reid" at 63%, followed by "Alexandre Daneau" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Claude Reid" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Daneau" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.