**China's consumer price index has shown moderate but softening momentum through mid-2026, with the January-July average at 0.9% year-on-year and the July print easing to 0.5% amid declines in food (particularly pork) and energy prices.** Persistent weakness in domestic demand, linked to the ongoing property sector adjustment and subdued retail sales, continues to weigh on core components and rents. Recent cooling in global oil prices following earlier Middle East disruptions has further reduced upward pressure on transportation costs. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome, reflecting the balance between modest core inflation near 0.9% and deflationary drags in key categories. Policy support for consumption remains available but has not yet translated into broad-based price acceleration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.8%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 5.0%
$73,976 Vol.
$73,976 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.8%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 5.0%
$73,976 Vol.
$73,976 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Vol.
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$5,172 Vol.
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
$9,047 Vol.
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
$14,412 Vol.
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Vol.
4%
2.0-2.4%
$7,879 Vol.
5%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China's consumer price index has shown moderate but softening momentum through mid-2026, with the January-July average at 0.9% year-on-year and the July print easing to 0.5% amid declines in food (particularly pork) and energy prices.** Persistent weakness in domestic demand, linked to the ongoing property sector adjustment and subdued retail sales, continues to weigh on core components and rents. Recent cooling in global oil prices following earlier Middle East disruptions has further reduced upward pressure on transportation costs. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome, reflecting the balance between modest core inflation near 0.9% and deflationary drags in key categories. Policy support for consumption remains available but has not yet translated into broad-based price acceleration.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$73,976End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China's consumer price index has shown moderate but softening momentum through mid-2026, with the January-July average at 0.9% year-on-year and the July print easing to 0.5% amid declines in food (particularly pork) and energy prices.** Persistent weakness in domestic demand, linked to the ongoing property sector adjustment and subdued retail sales, continues to weigh on core components and rents. Recent cooling in global oil prices following earlier Middle East disruptions has further reduced upward pressure on transportation costs. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome, reflecting the balance between modest core inflation near 0.9% and deflationary drags in key categories. Policy support for consumption remains available but has not yet translated into broad-based price acceleration.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$73,976End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**China's consumer price index has shown moderate but softening momentum through mid-2026, with the January-July average at 0.9% year-on-year and the July print easing to 0.5% amid declines in food (particularly pork) and energy prices.** Persistent weakness in domestic demand, linked to the ongoing property sector adjustment and subdued retail sales, continues to weigh on core components and rents. Recent cooling in global oil prices following earlier Middle East disruptions has further reduced upward pressure on transportation costs. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome, reflecting the balance between modest core inflation near 0.9% and deflationary drags in key categories. Policy support for consumption remains available but has not yet translated into broad-based price acceleration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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