Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026, primary for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. He prevailed with roughly 29 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included Catalina Lauf, Jim Oberweis, Madison Cawthorn, and others. His local roots as a Southwest Florida media executive, combined with stronger fundraising and name recognition among district voters, drove the outcome in a solidly Republican area. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the race call by the Associated Press and other outlets. Remaining uncertainty would require an official recount or successful legal challenge altering certified results, both low-probability events given the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJim Schwartzel 100.0%
Madison Cawthorn <1%
Bob Rommel <1%
Jim Oberweis <1%
$239,684 Vol.
$239,684 Vol.

Madison Cawthorn
No

Bob Rommel
No

Jim Oberweis
No

Catalina Lauf
No

Spencer Roach
No

Jim Schwartzel
Yes
Jim Schwartzel 100.0%
Madison Cawthorn <1%
Bob Rommel <1%
Jim Oberweis <1%
$239,684 Vol.
$239,684 Vol.

Madison Cawthorn
No

Bob Rommel
No

Jim Oberweis
No

Catalina Lauf
No

Spencer Roach
No

Jim Schwartzel
Yes
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026, primary for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. He prevailed with roughly 29 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included Catalina Lauf, Jim Oberweis, Madison Cawthorn, and others. His local roots as a Southwest Florida media executive, combined with stronger fundraising and name recognition among district voters, drove the outcome in a solidly Republican area. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the race call by the Associated Press and other outlets. Remaining uncertainty would require an official recount or successful legal challenge altering certified results, both low-probability events given the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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