Ashley Moody secured the Florida Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate special election through her position as the incumbent appointee, early endorsement from President Trump, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $10 million. These factors, combined with endorsements from state Republican leaders and law enforcement groups, positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary against lesser-known challengers including Chris Gleason, Ernie Rivera, and Neelam Perry. Moody won approximately 80 percent of the vote, reflecting broad party consensus and limited opposition. Trader consensus at 100 percent aligns with these confirmed primary results, though late official certification issues or unforeseen legal challenges could theoretically prompt review before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAshley B. Moody 100.0%
Jake Lang <1%
Michaelangelo Hamilton <1%
A.C. Toulme <1%
$19,996 Vol.
$19,996 Vol.

Ashley B. Moody
Yes

Jake Lang
No

Michaelangelo Hamilton
No

A.C. Toulme
No
Ashley B. Moody 100.0%
Jake Lang <1%
Michaelangelo Hamilton <1%
A.C. Toulme <1%
$19,996 Vol.
$19,996 Vol.

Ashley B. Moody
Yes

Jake Lang
No

Michaelangelo Hamilton
No

A.C. Toulme
No
If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ashley Moody secured the Florida Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate special election through her position as the incumbent appointee, early endorsement from President Trump, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $10 million. These factors, combined with endorsements from state Republican leaders and law enforcement groups, positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary against lesser-known challengers including Chris Gleason, Ernie Rivera, and Neelam Perry. Moody won approximately 80 percent of the vote, reflecting broad party consensus and limited opposition. Trader consensus at 100 percent aligns with these confirmed primary results, though late official certification issues or unforeseen legal challenges could theoretically prompt review before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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