**Official forecasts from French meteorological services indicate a daily maximum of 24°C in Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of approximately 24°C for the date, with model consensus from sources like Météo-France showing stable afternoon readings near 22–23°C under variable conditions. Trader consensus at 100% for 24°C reflects real-time observational data and ensemble forecasts confirming this threshold, rather than deviations toward warmer or cooler outcomes. Realistic challenges include localized clearing that could allow brief additional insolation or station-specific measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes significant shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$123,690 Vol.
$123,690 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$123,690 Vol.
$123,690 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Official forecasts from French meteorological services indicate a daily maximum of 24°C in Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of approximately 24°C for the date, with model consensus from sources like Météo-France showing stable afternoon readings near 22–23°C under variable conditions. Trader consensus at 100% for 24°C reflects real-time observational data and ensemble forecasts confirming this threshold, rather than deviations toward warmer or cooler outcomes. Realistic challenges include localized clearing that could allow brief additional insolation or station-specific measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes significant shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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