Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 30 show consensus highs near 29–31°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, keeping the leading market probabilities tightly clustered. Variable cloud cover modulates surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation while limiting overnight radiative cooling, producing modest diurnal ranges around 23–24°C lows. Recent cooling from northerly advection and scattered shower potential in the region have suppressed extremes compared with mid-August peaks above 34°C, though model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity introduce enough uncertainty to support roughly equal implied odds for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether increased insolation or lingering cloudiness shifts the exact daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
29°C 31%
31°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
9%
29°C 31%
31°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 30 show consensus highs near 29–31°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, keeping the leading market probabilities tightly clustered. Variable cloud cover modulates surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation while limiting overnight radiative cooling, producing modest diurnal ranges around 23–24°C lows. Recent cooling from northerly advection and scattered shower potential in the region have suppressed extremes compared with mid-August peaks above 34°C, though model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity introduce enough uncertainty to support roughly equal implied odds for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether increased insolation or lingering cloudiness shifts the exact daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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