Recent polling for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance fluctuating between roughly 7 and 15 seats, with most surveys clustering near 10-13 as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar draws overlapping centrist and center-right support. This fragmentation within the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc has prevented Together from consolidating a larger share since the merger announcement. Trader prices remain concentrated in the 7-11% bands, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among swing voters, campaign momentum in the remaining weeks, and any late security developments that could shift bloc cohesion. Surplus-vote agreements signed in early September provide limited buffer but do not resolve the core competition for the same electorate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7-9% 36%
11-13% 20%
13%+ 14.8%
<7% 10%
<7%
10%
7-9%
36%
9-11%
38%
11-13%
20%
13%+
15%
7-9% 36%
11-13% 20%
13%+ 14.8%
<7% 10%
<7%
10%
7-9%
36%
9-11%
38%
11-13%
20%
13%+
15%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Resolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance fluctuating between roughly 7 and 15 seats, with most surveys clustering near 10-13 as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar draws overlapping centrist and center-right support. This fragmentation within the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc has prevented Together from consolidating a larger share since the merger announcement. Trader prices remain concentrated in the 7-11% bands, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among swing voters, campaign momentum in the remaining weeks, and any late security developments that could shift bloc cohesion. Surplus-vote agreements signed in early September provide limited buffer but do not resolve the core competition for the same electorate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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