**Elections for Israel's 26th Knesset are scheduled for 27 October 2026, following the first full four-year term since 1988.** Recent polling averages show a fragmented field with neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and potential allies like Amcha Israel) nor the main opposition (Yashar, Together, The Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu) reliably reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority; bloc totals hover near 52 seats each, with Arab parties (Joint List, Ra'am) around 12. Party lists closed on 8 September, with 38 slates filed and surplus-vote agreements finalized among several pairs to maximize remainder seats. Smaller parties face threshold pressure at 3.25%, where outcomes for lists like Amcha Israel or Reservists-Economy vary across surveys and directly influence bloc viability. Early diplomatic voting begins 20 October, with final results determining coalition arithmetic amid high undecided shares and turnout dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Nov 30, 2026
Ra'am
90%
RZP-Zehut
87%
Reservists and New Economic Party
29%
Blue & White
9%
Amcha Yisrael
52%
$1,433 Vol.
Ra'am
$88 Vol.
90%
RZP-Zehut
$807 Vol.
87%
Reservists and New Economic Party
$109 Vol.
29%
Blue & White
$309 Vol.
9%
Amcha Yisrael
$221 Vol.
52%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Elections for Israel's 26th Knesset are scheduled for 27 October 2026, following the first full four-year term since 1988.** Recent polling averages show a fragmented field with neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and potential allies like Amcha Israel) nor the main opposition (Yashar, Together, The Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu) reliably reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority; bloc totals hover near 52 seats each, with Arab parties (Joint List, Ra'am) around 12.
Party lists closed on 8 September, with 38 slates filed and surplus-vote agreements finalized among several pairs to maximize remainder seats. Smaller parties face threshold pressure at 3.25%, where outcomes for lists like Amcha Israel or Reservists-Economy vary across surveys and directly influence bloc viability. Early diplomatic voting begins 20 October, with final results determining coalition arithmetic amid high undecided shares and turnout dynamics.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,433End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Elections for Israel's 26th Knesset are scheduled for 27 October 2026, following the first full four-year term since 1988.** Recent polling averages show a fragmented field with neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and potential allies like Amcha Israel) nor the main opposition (Yashar, Together, The Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu) reliably reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority; bloc totals hover near 52 seats each, with Arab parties (Joint List, Ra'am) around 12.
Party lists closed on 8 September, with 38 slates filed and surplus-vote agreements finalized among several pairs to maximize remainder seats. Smaller parties face threshold pressure at 3.25%, where outcomes for lists like Amcha Israel or Reservists-Economy vary across surveys and directly influence bloc viability. Early diplomatic voting begins 20 October, with final results determining coalition arithmetic amid high undecided shares and turnout dynamics.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,433End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Elections for Israel's 26th Knesset are scheduled for 27 October 2026, following the first full four-year term since 1988.** Recent polling averages show a fragmented field with neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and potential allies like Amcha Israel) nor the main opposition (Yashar, Together, The Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu) reliably reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority; bloc totals hover near 52 seats each, with Arab parties (Joint List, Ra'am) around 12. Party lists closed on 8 September, with 38 slates filed and surplus-vote agreements finalized among several pairs to maximize remainder seats. Smaller parties face threshold pressure at 3.25%, where outcomes for lists like Amcha Israel or Reservists-Economy vary across surveys and directly influence bloc viability. Early diplomatic voting begins 20 October, with final results determining coalition arithmetic amid high undecided shares and turnout dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions