Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected at 6–9 seats, with Ra'am running separately at around 5. The even distribution across seat brackets reflects uncertainty over Arab voter turnout, the alliance's final candidate list due by September 9, and competition for the same electorate amid bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the Zionist opposition, both hovering near 53 seats. Arab parties overall hold the balance with 12–14 seats in surveys, yet neither major bloc has pursued them for coalition purposes. Late campaign developments, including mobilization efforts, threshold risks, or shifts in broader turnout, could alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 26%
10-11 26%
12+ 26%
<6 24%
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NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
24%
6-7
26%
8-9
22%
10-11
26%
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6-7 26%
10-11 26%
12+ 26%
<6 24%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
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6-7
$0 Vol.
26%
8-9
$0 Vol.
22%
10-11
$0 Vol.
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12+
$0 Vol.
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected at 6–9 seats, with Ra'am running separately at around 5. The even distribution across seat brackets reflects uncertainty over Arab voter turnout, the alliance's final candidate list due by September 9, and competition for the same electorate amid bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the Zionist opposition, both hovering near 53 seats. Arab parties overall hold the balance with 12–14 seats in surveys, yet neither major bloc has pursued them for coalition purposes. Late campaign developments, including mobilization efforts, threshold risks, or shifts in broader turnout, could alter the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected at 6–9 seats, with Ra'am running separately at around 5. The even distribution across seat brackets reflects uncertainty over Arab voter turnout, the alliance's final candidate list due by September 9, and competition for the same electorate amid bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the Zionist opposition, both hovering near 53 seats. Arab parties overall hold the balance with 12–14 seats in surveys, yet neither major bloc has pursued them for coalition purposes. Late campaign developments, including mobilization efforts, threshold risks, or shifts in broader turnout, could alter the outcome before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election show the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) projected at 6–9 seats, with Ra'am running separately at around 5. The even distribution across seat brackets reflects uncertainty over Arab voter turnout, the alliance's final candidate list due by September 9, and competition for the same electorate amid bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the Zionist opposition, both hovering near 53 seats. Arab parties overall hold the balance with 12–14 seats in surveys, yet neither major bloc has pursued them for coalition purposes. Late campaign developments, including mobilization efforts, threshold risks, or shifts in broader turnout, could alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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