Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am projected at 4-6 seats, with outcomes clustered tightly due to the party's independent run after failing to join the Joint List and its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement. The August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as a Jewish candidate produced mixed results in surveys, sometimes lifting estimates toward seven seats while others held steady near five amid competition for Arab voters from Hadash-Ta'al-Balad. Trader consensus around five or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, bloc dynamics between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, and whether Ra'am can expand its base as a pragmatic coalition partner. Late shifts in voter mobilization or further alliances could widen the range before lists finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8+ 34%
<4 33%
5 33%
6 33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
33%
4
33%
5
33%
6
33%
7
24%
8+
34%
8+ 34%
<4 33%
5 33%
6 33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
33%
4
$0 Vol.
33%
5
$0 Vol.
33%
6
$0 Vol.
33%
7
$0 Vol.
24%
8+
$0 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am projected at 4-6 seats, with outcomes clustered tightly due to the party's independent run after failing to join the Joint List and its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement. The August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as a Jewish candidate produced mixed results in surveys, sometimes lifting estimates toward seven seats while others held steady near five amid competition for Arab voters from Hadash-Ta'al-Balad. Trader consensus around five or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, bloc dynamics between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, and whether Ra'am can expand its base as a pragmatic coalition partner. Late shifts in voter mobilization or further alliances could widen the range before lists finalize.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am projected at 4-6 seats, with outcomes clustered tightly due to the party's independent run after failing to join the Joint List and its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement. The August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as a Jewish candidate produced mixed results in surveys, sometimes lifting estimates toward seven seats while others held steady near five amid competition for Arab voters from Hadash-Ta'al-Balad. Trader consensus around five or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, bloc dynamics between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, and whether Ra'am can expand its base as a pragmatic coalition partner. Late shifts in voter mobilization or further alliances could widen the range before lists finalize.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am projected at 4-6 seats, with outcomes clustered tightly due to the party's independent run after failing to join the Joint List and its July separation from the Southern Islamic Movement. The August addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as a Jewish candidate produced mixed results in surveys, sometimes lifting estimates toward seven seats while others held steady near five amid competition for Arab voters from Hadash-Ta'al-Balad. Trader consensus around five or six seats reflects uncertainty over Arab turnout, bloc dynamics between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, and whether Ra'am can expand its base as a pragmatic coalition partner. Late shifts in voter mobilization or further alliances could widen the range before lists finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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