Recent polls place Shas near seven Knesset seats, reflecting pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy that has prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, or opposition lists. Shas has responded with a campaign video highlighting an IDF soldier returning to a Haredi family and a leadership reconciliation between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed at unifying its base ahead of candidate list submissions on September 9. Traders see limited upside unless the party regains Mizrahi support or benefits from bloc realignments, while downside risks stem from further Haredi vote fragmentation and the short timeline to the October 27 election. The even distribution across low and high ranges captures this volatility in a contest where small swings in turnout or alliances can alter final totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 27%
12+ 26%
8-9 22%
<6 21%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
21%
6-7
27%
8-9
22%
10-11
21%
12+
26%
6-7 27%
12+ 26%
8-9 22%
<6 21%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
21%
6-7
$0 Vol.
27%
8-9
$0 Vol.
22%
10-11
$0 Vol.
21%
12+
$0 Vol.
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Shas near seven Knesset seats, reflecting pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy that has prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, or opposition lists. Shas has responded with a campaign video highlighting an IDF soldier returning to a Haredi family and a leadership reconciliation between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed at unifying its base ahead of candidate list submissions on September 9. Traders see limited upside unless the party regains Mizrahi support or benefits from bloc realignments, while downside risks stem from further Haredi vote fragmentation and the short timeline to the October 27 election. The even distribution across low and high ranges captures this volatility in a contest where small swings in turnout or alliances can alter final totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Shas near seven Knesset seats, reflecting pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy that has prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, or opposition lists. Shas has responded with a campaign video highlighting an IDF soldier returning to a Haredi family and a leadership reconciliation between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed at unifying its base ahead of candidate list submissions on September 9. Traders see limited upside unless the party regains Mizrahi support or benefits from bloc realignments, while downside risks stem from further Haredi vote fragmentation and the short timeline to the October 27 election. The even distribution across low and high ranges captures this volatility in a contest where small swings in turnout or alliances can alter final totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Shas near seven Knesset seats, reflecting pressure from the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy that has prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud, Otzma Yehudit, or opposition lists. Shas has responded with a campaign video highlighting an IDF soldier returning to a Haredi family and a leadership reconciliation between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed at unifying its base ahead of candidate list submissions on September 9. Traders see limited upside unless the party regains Mizrahi support or benefits from bloc realignments, while downside risks stem from further Haredi vote fragmentation and the short timeline to the October 27 election. The even distribution across low and high ranges captures this volatility in a contest where small swings in turnout or alliances can alter final totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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