Recent polling following the early September technical bloc agreement between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the combined list securing 5–7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% electoral threshold that RZP had hovered near or below in prior weeks. This merger, which placed Zehut leader Moshe Feiglin high on the joint slate, consolidated fragmented right-wing support but faces competition from Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael list, also polling near the threshold and drawing overlapping voters. Broader bloc volatility, with Netanyahu-aligned parties fluctuating between 47–53 seats across recent Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar surveys, adds uncertainty to smaller-party projections ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4–9 seat ranges as final list submissions and late campaign shifts could still alter turnout or vote concentration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4-5 26%
6-7 26%
8-9 26%
<4 21%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
21%
4-5
26%
6-7
26%
8-9
26%
10+
19%
4-5 26%
6-7 26%
8-9 26%
<4 21%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
21%
4-5
$0 Vol.
26%
6-7
$0 Vol.
26%
8-9
$0 Vol.
26%
10+
$0 Vol.
19%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling following the early September technical bloc agreement between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the combined list securing 5–7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% electoral threshold that RZP had hovered near or below in prior weeks. This merger, which placed Zehut leader Moshe Feiglin high on the joint slate, consolidated fragmented right-wing support but faces competition from Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael list, also polling near the threshold and drawing overlapping voters. Broader bloc volatility, with Netanyahu-aligned parties fluctuating between 47–53 seats across recent Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar surveys, adds uncertainty to smaller-party projections ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4–9 seat ranges as final list submissions and late campaign shifts could still alter turnout or vote concentration.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling following the early September technical bloc agreement between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the combined list securing 5–7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% electoral threshold that RZP had hovered near or below in prior weeks. This merger, which placed Zehut leader Moshe Feiglin high on the joint slate, consolidated fragmented right-wing support but faces competition from Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael list, also polling near the threshold and drawing overlapping voters. Broader bloc volatility, with Netanyahu-aligned parties fluctuating between 47–53 seats across recent Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar surveys, adds uncertainty to smaller-party projections ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4–9 seat ranges as final list submissions and late campaign shifts could still alter turnout or vote concentration.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling following the early September technical bloc agreement between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut shows the combined list securing 5–7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% electoral threshold that RZP had hovered near or below in prior weeks. This merger, which placed Zehut leader Moshe Feiglin high on the joint slate, consolidated fragmented right-wing support but faces competition from Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael list, also polling near the threshold and drawing overlapping voters. Broader bloc volatility, with Netanyahu-aligned parties fluctuating between 47–53 seats across recent Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar surveys, adds uncertainty to smaller-party projections ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4–9 seat ranges as final list submissions and late campaign shifts could still alter turnout or vote concentration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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