Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu between seven and eleven Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the secular right-wing party amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated calls for mergers among smaller anti-Netanyahu lists near the 3.25% threshold underscore risks of wasted votes that could indirectly affect YB’s totals. Shifting alliances, including potential entries or mergers involving new right-wing lists and debates over haredi conscription, have introduced volatility in bloc arithmetic without producing clear separation for any single party. Upcoming candidate list deadlines and any late consolidations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could narrow the current spread across the 6–12 seat range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<6 40%
10-11 39%
8-9 38%
12+ 37%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
40%
6-7
31%
8-9
38%
10-11
39%
12+
37%
<6 40%
10-11 39%
8-9 38%
12+ 37%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
40%
6-7
$0 Vol.
31%
8-9
$0 Vol.
38%
10-11
$0 Vol.
39%
12+
$0 Vol.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu between seven and eleven Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the secular right-wing party amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated calls for mergers among smaller anti-Netanyahu lists near the 3.25% threshold underscore risks of wasted votes that could indirectly affect YB’s totals. Shifting alliances, including potential entries or mergers involving new right-wing lists and debates over haredi conscription, have introduced volatility in bloc arithmetic without producing clear separation for any single party. Upcoming candidate list deadlines and any late consolidations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could narrow the current spread across the 6–12 seat range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu between seven and eleven Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the secular right-wing party amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated calls for mergers among smaller anti-Netanyahu lists near the 3.25% threshold underscore risks of wasted votes that could indirectly affect YB’s totals. Shifting alliances, including potential entries or mergers involving new right-wing lists and debates over haredi conscription, have introduced volatility in bloc arithmetic without producing clear separation for any single party. Upcoming candidate list deadlines and any late consolidations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could narrow the current spread across the 6–12 seat range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu between seven and eleven Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the secular right-wing party amid a fragmented opposition bloc. Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated calls for mergers among smaller anti-Netanyahu lists near the 3.25% threshold underscore risks of wasted votes that could indirectly affect YB’s totals. Shifting alliances, including potential entries or mergers involving new right-wing lists and debates over haredi conscription, have introduced volatility in bloc arithmetic without producing clear separation for any single party. Upcoming candidate list deadlines and any late consolidations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could narrow the current spread across the 6–12 seat range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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