Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s for Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, often ahead of Likud but short of a clear path to a majority coalition. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s party and the Tropper-Hendel alliance, has split votes and kept thresholds decisive. Security concerns tied to the October 7 attacks, debates over national service, and coalition arithmetic continue to drive volatility in bloc projections. Trader pricing across the 20–30 seat range reflects this uncertainty, with modest separation possible if late polls stabilize or if one bloc secures additional Arab or religious-party support before voting day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
22-23 40%
28-29 36%
30+ 34%
20-21 25%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
19%
20-21
25%
22-23
40%
24-25
25%
26-27
25%
28-29
36%
30+
34%
22-23 40%
28-29 36%
30+ 34%
20-21 25%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
19%
20-21
$0 Vol.
25%
22-23
$0 Vol.
40%
24-25
$0 Vol.
25%
26-27
$0 Vol.
25%
28-29
$0 Vol.
36%
30+
$0 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s for Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, often ahead of Likud but short of a clear path to a majority coalition. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s party and the Tropper-Hendel alliance, has split votes and kept thresholds decisive. Security concerns tied to the October 7 attacks, debates over national service, and coalition arithmetic continue to drive volatility in bloc projections. Trader pricing across the 20–30 seat range reflects this uncertainty, with modest separation possible if late polls stabilize or if one bloc secures additional Arab or religious-party support before voting day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s for Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, often ahead of Likud but short of a clear path to a majority coalition. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s party and the Tropper-Hendel alliance, has split votes and kept thresholds decisive. Security concerns tied to the October 7 attacks, debates over national service, and coalition arithmetic continue to drive volatility in bloc projections. Trader pricing across the 20–30 seat range reflects this uncertainty, with modest separation possible if late polls stabilize or if one bloc secures additional Arab or religious-party support before voting day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the low-to-mid 20s for Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, often ahead of Likud but short of a clear path to a majority coalition. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s party and the Tropper-Hendel alliance, has split votes and kept thresholds decisive. Security concerns tied to the October 7 attacks, debates over national service, and coalition arithmetic continue to drive volatility in bloc projections. Trader pricing across the 20–30 seat range reflects this uncertainty, with modest separation possible if late polls stabilize or if one bloc secures additional Arab or religious-party support before voting day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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