Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the Joint List, the alliance of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, consistently projected near 6-8 Knesset seats in surveys from early September, reflecting roughly 5-7% national support amid a broader deadlock between major blocs. The list's August reunification without Ra'am, followed by a September 12 surplus-vote agreement between the two Arab slates, aims to maximize representation above the 3.25% threshold while addressing turnout among Arab voters. Variability in Arab participation rates, competition for that electorate, and late shifts in overall voter mobilization continue to keep projected shares tightly clustered, with no decisive movement in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.5%+ 26%
5.5-6.5% 22%
6.5-7.5% 18%
<4.5% 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
14%
4.5-5.5%
7%
5.5-6.5%
22%
6.5-7.5%
21%
7.5%+
26%
7.5%+ 26%
5.5-6.5% 22%
6.5-7.5% 18%
<4.5% 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$195 Vol.
14%
4.5-5.5%
$86 Vol.
7%
5.5-6.5%
$110 Vol.
22%
6.5-7.5%
$70 Vol.
21%
7.5%+
$101 Vol.
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the Joint List, the alliance of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, consistently projected near 6-8 Knesset seats in surveys from early September, reflecting roughly 5-7% national support amid a broader deadlock between major blocs. The list's August reunification without Ra'am, followed by a September 12 surplus-vote agreement between the two Arab slates, aims to maximize representation above the 3.25% threshold while addressing turnout among Arab voters. Variability in Arab participation rates, competition for that electorate, and late shifts in overall voter mobilization continue to keep projected shares tightly clustered, with no decisive movement in recent weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$563End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the Joint List, the alliance of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, consistently projected near 6-8 Knesset seats in surveys from early September, reflecting roughly 5-7% national support amid a broader deadlock between major blocs. The list's August reunification without Ra'am, followed by a September 12 surplus-vote agreement between the two Arab slates, aims to maximize representation above the 3.25% threshold while addressing turnout among Arab voters. Variability in Arab participation rates, competition for that electorate, and late shifts in overall voter mobilization continue to keep projected shares tightly clustered, with no decisive movement in recent weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$563End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows the Joint List, the alliance of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, consistently projected near 6-8 Knesset seats in surveys from early September, reflecting roughly 5-7% national support amid a broader deadlock between major blocs. The list's August reunification without Ra'am, followed by a September 12 surplus-vote agreement between the two Arab slates, aims to maximize representation above the 3.25% threshold while addressing turnout among Arab voters. Variability in Arab participation rates, competition for that electorate, and late shifts in overall voter mobilization continue to keep projected shares tightly clustered, with no decisive movement in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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