Kansas voters face an open gubernatorial contest on November 3, 2026, after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. State Senator Cindy Holscher secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, while Senate President Ty Masterson won the Republican primary and carries an endorsement from former President Trump. The race features no independent or third-party candidates on the ballot for the first time in decades. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as lean or tilt Republican, consistent with Kansas’s recent presidential voting patterns. Heavy spending by the Republican Governors Association in support of Masterson, combined with the state’s structural Republican advantages in a two-candidate general election, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Key variables include turnout among unaffiliated voters and any late shifts in campaign messaging on taxes and state priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,781 Vol.
$21,781 Vol.

Republican
66%

Democrat
35%
$21,781 Vol.
$21,781 Vol.

Republican
66%

Democrat
35%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas voters face an open gubernatorial contest on November 3, 2026, after term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. State Senator Cindy Holscher secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, while Senate President Ty Masterson won the Republican primary and carries an endorsement from former President Trump. The race features no independent or third-party candidates on the ballot for the first time in decades. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as lean or tilt Republican, consistent with Kansas’s recent presidential voting patterns. Heavy spending by the Republican Governors Association in support of Masterson, combined with the state’s structural Republican advantages in a two-candidate general election, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Key variables include turnout among unaffiliated voters and any late shifts in campaign messaging on taxes and state priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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