Kentucky’s 2027 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear reaches his two-term limit, with the November 2 general election following May primaries. Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Republican nominee prevailing, reflecting the state’s strong recent GOP performance in federal races and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Early Democratic primary activity centers on Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman, who leads polling over Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest focuses on figures such as U.S. Rep. James Comer without confirmed candidacies to date. Primary polling and candidate announcements continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
81%
Democrat
17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
$2,053 Vol.
81%
Democrat
$47 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky’s 2027 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear reaches his two-term limit, with the November 2 general election following May primaries. Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Republican nominee prevailing, reflecting the state’s strong recent GOP performance in federal races and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Early Democratic primary activity centers on Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman, who leads polling over Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest focuses on figures such as U.S. Rep. James Comer without confirmed candidacies to date. Primary polling and candidate announcements continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,100End Date
Nov 2, 2027Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky’s 2027 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear reaches his two-term limit, with the November 2 general election following May primaries. Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Republican nominee prevailing, reflecting the state’s strong recent GOP performance in federal races and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Early Democratic primary activity centers on Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman, who leads polling over Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest focuses on figures such as U.S. Rep. James Comer without confirmed candidacies to date. Primary polling and candidate announcements continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,100End Date
Nov 2, 2027Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kentucky’s 2027 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear reaches his two-term limit, with the November 2 general election following May primaries. Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Republican nominee prevailing, reflecting the state’s strong recent GOP performance in federal races and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Democrats. Early Democratic primary activity centers on Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman, who leads polling over Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest focuses on figures such as U.S. Rep. James Comer without confirmed candidacies to date. Primary polling and candidate announcements continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions