Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator for the Kinmen district, holds an overwhelming lead in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the party's dominant position in the county and the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party contender. The KMT's March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any internal primary, while the incumbent's disqualification under election rules created an open seat that favors the official party standard-bearer with established local networks and cross-strait policy emphasis. Independent challengers including former vice magistrate Li Wen-liang, ex-magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, and academic Liang Wen-tao have declared or collected nomination papers in the ongoing registration window, yet they remain fragmented without unified backing or comparable organizational resources. Analysts rate the contest as safely KMT, consistent with historical voting patterns in Kinmen where party affiliation and cross-strait engagement typically determine outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChen Yu-jen 88%
Li Wen-liang 8%
Yang Cheng-wu 1.9%
Liang Wen-tao 1.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
88%
Li Wen-liang
8%
Yang Cheng-wu
2%
Liang Wen-tao
2%
Chen Yu-jen 88%
Li Wen-liang 8%
Yang Cheng-wu 1.9%
Liang Wen-tao 1.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
$2,174 Vol.
88%
Li Wen-liang
$498 Vol.
8%
Yang Cheng-wu
$264 Vol.
2%
Liang Wen-tao
$280 Vol.
2%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator for the Kinmen district, holds an overwhelming lead in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the party's dominant position in the county and the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party contender. The KMT's March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any internal primary, while the incumbent's disqualification under election rules created an open seat that favors the official party standard-bearer with established local networks and cross-strait policy emphasis. Independent challengers including former vice magistrate Li Wen-liang, ex-magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, and academic Liang Wen-tao have declared or collected nomination papers in the ongoing registration window, yet they remain fragmented without unified backing or comparable organizational resources. Analysts rate the contest as safely KMT, consistent with historical voting patterns in Kinmen where party affiliation and cross-strait engagement typically determine outcomes.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,216End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator for the Kinmen district, holds an overwhelming lead in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the party's dominant position in the county and the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party contender. The KMT's March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any internal primary, while the incumbent's disqualification under election rules created an open seat that favors the official party standard-bearer with established local networks and cross-strait policy emphasis. Independent challengers including former vice magistrate Li Wen-liang, ex-magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, and academic Liang Wen-tao have declared or collected nomination papers in the ongoing registration window, yet they remain fragmented without unified backing or comparable organizational resources. Analysts rate the contest as safely KMT, consistent with historical voting patterns in Kinmen where party affiliation and cross-strait engagement typically determine outcomes.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,216End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator for the Kinmen district, holds an overwhelming lead in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the party's dominant position in the county and the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party contender. The KMT's March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any internal primary, while the incumbent's disqualification under election rules created an open seat that favors the official party standard-bearer with established local networks and cross-strait policy emphasis. Independent challengers including former vice magistrate Li Wen-liang, ex-magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, and academic Liang Wen-tao have declared or collected nomination papers in the ongoing registration window, yet they remain fragmented without unified backing or comparable organizational resources. Analysts rate the contest as safely KMT, consistent with historical voting patterns in Kinmen where party affiliation and cross-strait engagement typically determine outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions