**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight into August 27, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on that outcome.** Late-summer conditions feature high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, aligning with observed overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius across multiple model runs. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical daily minima around 22–25°C, providing additional context for the tight consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling below 24°C or localized measurement differences at the official Incheon station, though current model agreement and real-time observations make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
25°C 98%
24°C 1.1%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$11,391 Vol.
$11,391 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 1.1%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$11,391 Vol.
$11,391 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$803 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$969 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$636 Vol.
1%
24°C
$816 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,935 Vol.
98%
26°C
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight into August 27, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on that outcome.** Late-summer conditions feature high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, aligning with observed overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius across multiple model runs. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical daily minima around 22–25°C, providing additional context for the tight consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling below 24°C or localized measurement differences at the official Incheon station, though current model agreement and real-time observations make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,391End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight into August 27, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on that outcome.** Late-summer conditions feature high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, aligning with observed overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius across multiple model runs. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical daily minima around 22–25°C, providing additional context for the tight consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling below 24°C or localized measurement differences at the official Incheon station, though current model agreement and real-time observations make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,391End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight into August 27, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on that outcome.** Late-summer conditions feature high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, aligning with observed overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius across multiple model runs. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical daily minima around 22–25°C, providing additional context for the tight consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling below 24°C or localized measurement differences at the official Incheon station, though current model agreement and real-time observations make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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