Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity levels near 80-90% and extensive cloud cover, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows in Karachi near the seasonal average of 26-27°C. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a minimum of 26°C for August 29 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with recent observations showing steady temperatures around 26-27°C. This consensus underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply for deviations below 25°C or above 28°C absent any unexpected synoptic shifts. Resolution will depend on verified station measurements from the Karachi airport or equivalent official source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
23°C 49%
22°C 48%
24°C 47%
29°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
47%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
25%
29°C
47%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
35%
23°C 49%
22°C 48%
24°C 47%
29°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
48%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$5 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$105 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
47%
30°C
$5 Vol.
10%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity levels near 80-90% and extensive cloud cover, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows in Karachi near the seasonal average of 26-27°C. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a minimum of 26°C for August 29 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with recent observations showing steady temperatures around 26-27°C. This consensus underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply for deviations below 25°C or above 28°C absent any unexpected synoptic shifts. Resolution will depend on verified station measurements from the Karachi airport or equivalent official source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$140End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity levels near 80-90% and extensive cloud cover, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows in Karachi near the seasonal average of 26-27°C. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a minimum of 26°C for August 29 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with recent observations showing steady temperatures around 26-27°C. This consensus underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply for deviations below 25°C or above 28°C absent any unexpected synoptic shifts. Resolution will depend on verified station measurements from the Karachi airport or equivalent official source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity levels near 80-90% and extensive cloud cover, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows in Karachi near the seasonal average of 26-27°C. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project a minimum of 26°C for August 29 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with recent observations showing steady temperatures around 26-27°C. This consensus underpins the market's elevated implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply for deviations below 25°C or above 28°C absent any unexpected synoptic shifts. Resolution will depend on verified station measurements from the Karachi airport or equivalent official source.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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