Forecast consensus from global models indicates a minimum temperature in Karachi of 26–27°C on August 28, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–28°C amid mostly dry, stable atmospheric patterns with no significant frontal systems or stronger monsoon surges. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model outputs and local measurement thresholds, while lower odds for 25°C or 28°C+ highlight the narrow range of plausible deviations based on current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
29°C 86%
26°C 46%
25°C 45%
27°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
45%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
43%
29°C
86%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
6%
29°C 86%
26°C 46%
25°C 45%
27°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$203 Vol.
3%
22°C
$151 Vol.
10%
23°C
$32 Vol.
9%
24°C
$41 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C
$15 Vol.
86%
30°C
$58 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$32 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models indicates a minimum temperature in Karachi of 26–27°C on August 28, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–28°C amid mostly dry, stable atmospheric patterns with no significant frontal systems or stronger monsoon surges. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model outputs and local measurement thresholds, while lower odds for 25°C or 28°C+ highlight the narrow range of plausible deviations based on current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$533End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models indicates a minimum temperature in Karachi of 26–27°C on August 28, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–28°C amid mostly dry, stable atmospheric patterns with no significant frontal systems or stronger monsoon surges. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model outputs and local measurement thresholds, while lower odds for 25°C or 28°C+ highlight the narrow range of plausible deviations based on current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$533End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global models indicates a minimum temperature in Karachi of 26–27°C on August 28, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–28°C amid mostly dry, stable atmospheric patterns with no significant frontal systems or stronger monsoon surges. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model outputs and local measurement thresholds, while lower odds for 25°C or 28°C+ highlight the narrow range of plausible deviations based on current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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