Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C in Karachi on August 27, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, persistent high humidity near 65-85%, and partial cloud cover that limits solar heating while the Arabian Sea breeze prevents stronger warming. Historical late-August averages hover around 31-32°C, with recent days recording similar peaks under comparable monsoon-transition conditions. The implied probabilities favor 32°C over 31°C or 33°C because model consensus shows no significant shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence that could elevate readings further, though final official observations from PMD stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 27?
32°C 54%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
33%
32°C
54%
33°C
12%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
33%
32°C
54%
33°C
12%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C in Karachi on August 27, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, persistent high humidity near 65-85%, and partial cloud cover that limits solar heating while the Arabian Sea breeze prevents stronger warming. Historical late-August averages hover around 31-32°C, with recent days recording similar peaks under comparable monsoon-transition conditions. The implied probabilities favor 32°C over 31°C or 33°C because model consensus shows no significant shift toward clearer skies or stronger subsidence that could elevate readings further, though final official observations from PMD stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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