Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Donald Martel 48%

Jérôme Gagnon 32%

Guillaume Langlois 5%

Sophie Martinbeault <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Donald Martel 48%

Jérôme Gagnon 32%

Guillaume Langlois 5%

Sophie Martinbeault <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$3,727 Vol.

48%

icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$254 Vol.

36%

icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$158 Vol.

5%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$825 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Donald Martel, the incumbent CAQ member and agriculture minister, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Nicolet-Bécancour seat in the October 5 Quebec general election, reflecting his long local tenure and name recognition against a fragmented field. Recent polling aggregates show a tight three-way contest, with the PQ, CAQ, and CPQ each drawing roughly 25-36% support in the riding after transposition to the new boundaries. Jérôme Gagnon secured the PQ nomination in May with 59% of member votes and brings a background in municipal economic development, while CPQ candidate Guillaume Langlois benefits from the party's provincial momentum. The race remains closely balanced because no single party has established a durable edge in this Centre-du-Québec riding, where historical CAQ strength faces pressure from rising PQ and Conservative support. Late-campaign events such as debates or turnout shifts among key voter blocs could still alter the outcome before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,964
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Donald Martel, the incumbent CAQ member and agriculture minister, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Nicolet-Bécancour seat in the October 5 Quebec general election, reflecting his long local tenure and name recognition against a fragmented field. Recent polling aggregates show a tight three-way contest, with the PQ, CAQ, and CPQ each drawing roughly 25-36% support in the riding after transposition to the new boundaries. Jérôme Gagnon secured the PQ nomination in May with 59% of member votes and brings a background in municipal economic development, while CPQ candidate Guillaume Langlois benefits from the party's provincial momentum. The race remains closely balanced because no single party has established a durable edge in this Centre-du-Québec riding, where historical CAQ strength faces pressure from rising PQ and Conservative support. Late-campaign events such as debates or turnout shifts among key voter blocs could still alter the outcome before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,964
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?

76%
icon for Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

42%
icon for Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

57%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Donald Martel" at 48%, followed by "Jérôme Gagnon" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Donald Martel" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jérôme Gagnon" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.