**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi) leads trader consensus at 81% as the APC’s confirmed 2027 Ogun gubernatorial candidate after securing the party primary in May 2026 with 304,055 of 305,287 accredited votes.** Incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun endorsed him as consensus successor to promote zoning equity, noting Ogun West had not produced a governor since the state’s creation. Recent August 2026 reaffirmations by the Ogun APC state chapter, submission of Adeola’s name and running mate to INEC, and backing from traditional rulers across senatorial districts have reinforced his position despite a court challenge by rival Abayomi Hunye. Opposition figures such as Oladipupo Adebutu (PDP) trail at 9.2%, reflecting APC dominance, party unity efforts, and continuity messaging ahead of the February 2027 poll. Minor candidates and “Other” options remain low-probability in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOgun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 81%
Oladipupo Adebutu 9.2%
Rotimi Babajide 5.9%
Biodun Ogundipe 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola
81%
Oladipupo Adebutu
9%
Rotimi Babajide
6%
Biodun Ogundipe
3%
Bolaji Odusina
2%
Adekunle Adenuga
2%
Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi
1%
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 81%
Oladipupo Adebutu 9.2%
Rotimi Babajide 5.9%
Biodun Ogundipe 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola
$4,770 Vol.
81%
Oladipupo Adebutu
$167 Vol.
9%
Rotimi Babajide
$141 Vol.
6%
Biodun Ogundipe
$551 Vol.
3%
Bolaji Odusina
$127 Vol.
2%
Adekunle Adenuga
$127 Vol.
2%
Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi
$127 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi) leads trader consensus at 81% as the APC’s confirmed 2027 Ogun gubernatorial candidate after securing the party primary in May 2026 with 304,055 of 305,287 accredited votes.** Incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun endorsed him as consensus successor to promote zoning equity, noting Ogun West had not produced a governor since the state’s creation. Recent August 2026 reaffirmations by the Ogun APC state chapter, submission of Adeola’s name and running mate to INEC, and backing from traditional rulers across senatorial districts have reinforced his position despite a court challenge by rival Abayomi Hunye. Opposition figures such as Oladipupo Adebutu (PDP) trail at 9.2%, reflecting APC dominance, party unity efforts, and continuity messaging ahead of the February 2027 poll. Minor candidates and “Other” options remain low-probability in current pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Volume
$6,011End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi) leads trader consensus at 81% as the APC’s confirmed 2027 Ogun gubernatorial candidate after securing the party primary in May 2026 with 304,055 of 305,287 accredited votes.** Incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun endorsed him as consensus successor to promote zoning equity, noting Ogun West had not produced a governor since the state’s creation. Recent August 2026 reaffirmations by the Ogun APC state chapter, submission of Adeola’s name and running mate to INEC, and backing from traditional rulers across senatorial districts have reinforced his position despite a court challenge by rival Abayomi Hunye. Opposition figures such as Oladipupo Adebutu (PDP) trail at 9.2%, reflecting APC dominance, party unity efforts, and continuity messaging ahead of the February 2027 poll. Minor candidates and “Other” options remain low-probability in current pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,011End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi) leads trader consensus at 81% as the APC’s confirmed 2027 Ogun gubernatorial candidate after securing the party primary in May 2026 with 304,055 of 305,287 accredited votes.** Incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun endorsed him as consensus successor to promote zoning equity, noting Ogun West had not produced a governor since the state’s creation. Recent August 2026 reaffirmations by the Ogun APC state chapter, submission of Adeola’s name and running mate to INEC, and backing from traditional rulers across senatorial districts have reinforced his position despite a court challenge by rival Abayomi Hunye. Opposition figures such as Oladipupo Adebutu (PDP) trail at 9.2%, reflecting APC dominance, party unity efforts, and continuity messaging ahead of the February 2027 poll. Minor candidates and “Other” options remain low-probability in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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