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icon for Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Kevin Ashe 66%

Janice Frampton 16%

Doug Cornell 5%

Shaun Rickard 3.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Kevin Ashe 66%

Janice Frampton 16%

Doug Cornell 5%

Shaun Rickard 3.7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Kevin Ashe

Kevin Ashe

$2,668 Vol.

72%

icon for Janice Frampton

Janice Frampton

$1,939 Vol.

16%

icon for Doug Cornell

Doug Cornell

$113 Vol.

5%

icon for Shaun Rickard

Shaun Rickard

$78 Vol.

4%

icon for Zargham Rasool

Zargham Rasool

$97 Vol.

4%

icon for Lisa Robinson

Lisa Robinson

$73 Vol.

2%

icon for Andrea Wood

Andrea Wood

$78 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.Kevin Ashe holds the leading position in the Pickering mayoral race as the incumbent first elected in 2022, drawing on over two decades of prior council service and a family legacy in local politics. Certified challengers including Janice Frampton, Doug Cornell, Shaun Rickard, Zargham Rasool, Lisa Robinson, and Andrea Wood entered the field before nominations closed on August 21, with the vote set for October 26. Recent developments, such as a private email urging candidates to step aside for a person of colour that drew public backlash, have not materially altered positioning. Trader consensus assigns Ashe the strongest implied probability based on incumbency advantages and established visibility, while lower odds for others reflect limited name recognition or prior council controversies among some contenders. No major polling shifts or new endorsements have emerged in the past month to change this dynamic.

The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
Volume
$5,047
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.Kevin Ashe holds the leading position in the Pickering mayoral race as the incumbent first elected in 2022, drawing on over two decades of prior council service and a family legacy in local politics. Certified challengers including Janice Frampton, Doug Cornell, Shaun Rickard, Zargham Rasool, Lisa Robinson, and Andrea Wood entered the field before nominations closed on August 21, with the vote set for October 26. Recent developments, such as a private email urging candidates to step aside for a person of colour that drew public backlash, have not materially altered positioning. Trader consensus assigns Ashe the strongest implied probability based on incumbency advantages and established visibility, while lower odds for others reflect limited name recognition or prior council controversies among some contenders. No major polling shifts or new endorsements have emerged in the past month to change this dynamic.

The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
Volume
$5,047
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin Ashe" at 72%, followed by "Janice Frampton" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Kevin Ashe" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janice Frampton" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.