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Politics·Main Election

Piura Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Piura Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Piura Mayoral Election Winner

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 28%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 19.5%

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo 7.3%

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin 7%

Polymarket

$21,263 Vol.

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 28%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 19.5%

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo 7.3%

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin 7%

Polymarket

$21,263 Vol.

icon for Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi

$11,129 Vol.

28%

icon for Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán

$6,247 Vol.

20%

icon for Guillermo Chávez Timoteo

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo

$176 Vol.

7%

icon for John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin

$299 Vol.

7%

icon for Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios

$337 Vol.

6%

icon for Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot

Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot

$175 Vol.

6%

icon for Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado

Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado

$189 Vol.

6%

icon for Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena

Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena

$178 Vol.

5%

icon for Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia

Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia

$175 Vol.

5%

icon for Walther Guerrero Silva

Walther Guerrero Silva

$211 Vol.

5%

icon for José Luis Morey Requejo

José Luis Morey Requejo

$175 Vol.

4%

icon for Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño

$1,456 Vol.

4%

icon for Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví

Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví

$189 Vol.

3%

icon for Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios

Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios

$165 Vol.

2%

icon for Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde

Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde

$166 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Piura provincial mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with trader prices reflecting fragmented polling that places Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi (Somos Perú) and Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán (Alianza para el Progreso) as the clearest frontrunners. Recent August surveys from firms such as Piura Data Consultores and Luna Consultores show Cueva edging ahead in first-round preferences, though margins stay narrow amid a crowded field of more than twenty candidates that includes Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado, John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin, and several lower-polling independents and party nominees. No single contender has consolidated broad support, as regionalist, conservative, and Fujimorista-leaning voters remain divided. Factors sustaining the deadlock include the absence of major late-campaign shifts, limited differentiation on key local issues such as infrastructure and security, and the structural reality of Peru’s municipal voting system, which rewards plurality rather than majority. Additional polling releases, candidate debates, or endorsements within the next month could consolidate preferences and widen gaps before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$21,263
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Piura provincial mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with trader prices reflecting fragmented polling that places Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi (Somos Perú) and Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán (Alianza para el Progreso) as the clearest frontrunners. Recent August surveys from firms such as Piura Data Consultores and Luna Consultores show Cueva edging ahead in first-round preferences, though margins stay narrow amid a crowded field of more than twenty candidates that includes Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado, John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin, and several lower-polling independents and party nominees. No single contender has consolidated broad support, as regionalist, conservative, and Fujimorista-leaning voters remain divided. Factors sustaining the deadlock include the absence of major late-campaign shifts, limited differentiation on key local issues such as infrastructure and security, and the structural reality of Peru’s municipal voting system, which rewards plurality rather than majority. Additional polling releases, candidate debates, or endorsements within the next month could consolidate preferences and widen gaps before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$21,263
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Piura Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi" at 28%, followed by "Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Piura Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $21.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Piura Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Piura Mayoral Election Winner" is "Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Piura Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.