Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data for the week ending August 25, 2026, place approximately 27 percent of corn production area in moderate drought (D1) or worse, anchoring trader expectations for the week of September 1 near that range. Persistent high pressure and above-normal temperatures across the northern and western Corn Belt have limited rainfall and intensified soil moisture deficits in states such as North Dakota, Minnesota, and parts of Wisconsin, while earlier heavy rains improved conditions in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. NOAA and CPC outlooks indicate continued above-normal heat and below-normal precipitation through early September in key production zones, though scattered convective activity could produce localized relief. The corn crop, now mostly in dough to dent stages, remains sensitive to further moisture shortfalls that could expand D1 coverage before the next monitor release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
25% to 34% 79%
35% to 49% 11%
Under 25% 9%
50% or more 2.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
Under 25%
9%
25% to 34%
79%
35% to 49%
11%
50% or more
3%
25% to 34% 79%
35% to 49% 11%
Under 25% 9%
50% or more 2.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
Under 25%
$114 Vol.
9%
25% to 34%
$739 Vol.
79%
35% to 49%
$310 Vol.
11%
50% or more
$383 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Corn Production Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Row Crops Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?1), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for corn production with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data for the week ending August 25, 2026, place approximately 27 percent of corn production area in moderate drought (D1) or worse, anchoring trader expectations for the week of September 1 near that range. Persistent high pressure and above-normal temperatures across the northern and western Corn Belt have limited rainfall and intensified soil moisture deficits in states such as North Dakota, Minnesota, and parts of Wisconsin, while earlier heavy rains improved conditions in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. NOAA and CPC outlooks indicate continued above-normal heat and below-normal precipitation through early September in key production zones, though scattered convective activity could produce localized relief. The corn crop, now mostly in dough to dent stages, remains sensitive to further moisture shortfalls that could expand D1 coverage before the next monitor release.
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Corn Production Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Row Crops Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?1), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for corn production with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for corn production with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$1,546End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?1Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Corn Production Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Row Crops Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?1), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for corn production with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data for the week ending August 25, 2026, place approximately 27 percent of corn production area in moderate drought (D1) or worse, anchoring trader expectations for the week of September 1 near that range. Persistent high pressure and above-normal temperatures across the northern and western Corn Belt have limited rainfall and intensified soil moisture deficits in states such as North Dakota, Minnesota, and parts of Wisconsin, while earlier heavy rains improved conditions in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. NOAA and CPC outlooks indicate continued above-normal heat and below-normal precipitation through early September in key production zones, though scattered convective activity could produce localized relief. The corn crop, now mostly in dough to dent stages, remains sensitive to further moisture shortfalls that could expand D1 coverage before the next monitor release.
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Corn Production Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Row Crops Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?1), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for corn production with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for corn production with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
Volume
$1,546End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?1Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data for the week ending August 25, 2026, place approximately 27 percent of corn production area in moderate drought (D1) or worse, anchoring trader expectations for the week of September 1 near that range. Persistent high pressure and above-normal temperatures across the northern and western Corn Belt have limited rainfall and intensified soil moisture deficits in states such as North Dakota, Minnesota, and parts of Wisconsin, while earlier heavy rains improved conditions in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. NOAA and CPC outlooks indicate continued above-normal heat and below-normal precipitation through early September in key production zones, though scattered convective activity could produce localized relief. The corn crop, now mostly in dough to dent stages, remains sensitive to further moisture shortfalls that could expand D1 coverage before the next monitor release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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