Official PAGASA measurements recorded a daytime maximum of 32.7°C at noon on August 27 under the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting further heating. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppressed peak temperatures near the seasonal average for late August in Metro Manila, aligning trader consensus with the 32°C threshold as the day’s high. Model guidance and regional analyses showed little potential for late-day intensification once the maximum had already been observed. A post-event data revision from the primary monitoring station or use of an alternate site recording a meaningfully different value remains the only plausible scenario that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 27?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,005 Vol.
$30,005 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,005 Vol.
$30,005 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$2,887 Vol.
No
26°C
$248 Vol.
No
27°C
$691 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,890 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,354 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,085 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,366 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,193 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$3,108 Vol.
No
34°C
$833 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$349 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA measurements recorded a daytime maximum of 32.7°C at noon on August 27 under the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting further heating. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppressed peak temperatures near the seasonal average for late August in Metro Manila, aligning trader consensus with the 32°C threshold as the day’s high. Model guidance and regional analyses showed little potential for late-day intensification once the maximum had already been observed. A post-event data revision from the primary monitoring station or use of an alternate site recording a meaningfully different value remains the only plausible scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$30,005End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA measurements recorded a daytime maximum of 32.7°C at noon on August 27 under the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting further heating. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppressed peak temperatures near the seasonal average for late August in Metro Manila, aligning trader consensus with the 32°C threshold as the day’s high. Model guidance and regional analyses showed little potential for late-day intensification once the maximum had already been observed. A post-event data revision from the primary monitoring station or use of an alternate site recording a meaningfully different value remains the only plausible scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,005End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official PAGASA measurements recorded a daytime maximum of 32.7°C at noon on August 27 under the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting further heating. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppressed peak temperatures near the seasonal average for late August in Metro Manila, aligning trader consensus with the 32°C threshold as the day’s high. Model guidance and regional analyses showed little potential for late-day intensification once the maximum had already been observed. A post-event data revision from the primary monitoring station or use of an alternate site recording a meaningfully different value remains the only plausible scenario that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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