Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, continues to drive widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation across Metro Manila on August 27. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs converge on daytime maxima of 29–31 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity that can briefly limit or allow brief radiative heating. High humidity (often >80 %) and moderate southwest winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing. These factors keep the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, as small differences in afternoon storm coverage or clearing could shift the observed maximum by a single degree at the reference station. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will provide the next resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 27?
31°C 45%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
33°C 3%
NEW
$11,287 Vol.
NEW
$11,287 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
30%
31°C
45%
32°C
22%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
33°C 3%
NEW
$11,287 Vol.
NEW
$11,287 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$2,887 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$686 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,844 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$766 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,226 Vol.
30%
31°C
$1,516 Vol.
45%
32°C
$1,162 Vol.
22%
33°C
$440 Vol.
3%
34°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$349 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, continues to drive widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation across Metro Manila on August 27. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs converge on daytime maxima of 29–31 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity that can briefly limit or allow brief radiative heating. High humidity (often >80 %) and moderate southwest winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing. These factors keep the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, as small differences in afternoon storm coverage or clearing could shift the observed maximum by a single degree at the reference station. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will provide the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$11,287End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, continues to drive widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation across Metro Manila on August 27. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs converge on daytime maxima of 29–31 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity that can briefly limit or allow brief radiative heating. High humidity (often >80 %) and moderate southwest winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing. These factors keep the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, as small differences in afternoon storm coverage or clearing could shift the observed maximum by a single degree at the reference station. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will provide the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,287End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, continues to drive widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation across Metro Manila on August 27. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs converge on daytime maxima of 29–31 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity that can briefly limit or allow brief radiative heating. High humidity (often >80 %) and moderate southwest winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and mixing. These factors keep the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, as small differences in afternoon storm coverage or clearing could shift the observed maximum by a single degree at the reference station. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will provide the next resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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