Official NOAA observations from LaGuardia Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 84°F on August 28, 2026, with multiple ASOS readings peaking at 84–84.9°F during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow. NWS climatological summaries from JFK and Newark corroborate this value, aligning precisely with the 84–85°F bin and driving the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated verified sensor data rather than forecasts. Minor uncertainty persists only from potential post-observation quality-control revisions, though these are rare and typically fall within the same bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 28?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,745 Vol.
$50,745 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,745 Vol.
$50,745 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
71°F or below
$223 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$268 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$343 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,847 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,770 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$10,050 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,610 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,653 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$7,597 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,451 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$934 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NOAA observations from LaGuardia Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 84°F on August 28, 2026, with multiple ASOS readings peaking at 84–84.9°F during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow. NWS climatological summaries from JFK and Newark corroborate this value, aligning precisely with the 84–85°F bin and driving the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated verified sensor data rather than forecasts. Minor uncertainty persists only from potential post-observation quality-control revisions, though these are rare and typically fall within the same bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$50,745End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NOAA observations from LaGuardia Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 84°F on August 28, 2026, with multiple ASOS readings peaking at 84–84.9°F during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow. NWS climatological summaries from JFK and Newark corroborate this value, aligning precisely with the 84–85°F bin and driving the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated verified sensor data rather than forecasts. Minor uncertainty persists only from potential post-observation quality-control revisions, though these are rare and typically fall within the same bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,745End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official NOAA observations from LaGuardia Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 84°F on August 28, 2026, with multiple ASOS readings peaking at 84–84.9°F during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light northwest flow. NWS climatological summaries from JFK and Newark corroborate this value, aligning precisely with the 84–85°F bin and driving the 100% market-implied probability as traders incorporated verified sensor data rather than forecasts. Minor uncertainty persists only from potential post-observation quality-control revisions, though these are rare and typically fall within the same bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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